Yeah, the premise that overspeeding the chain causes this problem isn't real valid. In that case, a ported saw would "out run the tip" because it holds more RPM in the cut.
9 times out of 10, the chain derails from the heel of the bar, then comes off the tip. Now, bigger sprockets make this more likely because their larger diameter makes for a longer distance before the drivers get into the heel of the bar. And with boring, there's a greater chance of the chain chattering in the cut, increasing the odds of the drivers missing the heel of the bar as they come out of the sprocket.
Yes, absolutely higher chances of a larger sprocket causing you to throw your chain more.
If "outrunning the tip" is what you easterners call "throwing your chain" then that's a new one on me.